Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002963 0.003182 0.003420 0.003700 0.004024 0.004391 0.004843
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002616 0.002903 0.003236 0.003658 0.004188 0.004850 0.005769
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002449 0.002790 0.003206 0.003767 0.004529 0.005579 0.007247
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002313 0.002689 0.003167 0.003843 0.004829 0.006320 0.009048
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002153 0.002537 0.003038 0.003772 0.004896 0.006723 0.010494
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002000 0.002378 0.002879 0.003633 0.004828 0.006881 0.011558
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001911 0.002295 0.002815 0.003620 0.004952 0.007401 0.013801
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001761 0.002120 0.002608 0.003367 0.004638 0.007012 0.013434
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001709 0.002075 0.002582 0.003391 0.004799 0.007613 0.016500
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001683 0.002064 0.002603 0.003489 0.005106 0.008636 0.022736
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001637 0.002022 0.002572 0.003498 0.005248 0.009335 0.029595
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001617 0.002015 0.002595 0.003598 0.005587 0.010719 0.048786
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001569 0.001966 0.002554 0.003590 0.005721 0.011665 0.080497
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001510 0.001900 0.002482 0.003523 0.005716 0.012192 0.131997
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001489 0.001889 0.002497 0.003613 0.006094 0.014431 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001464 0.001871 0.002498 0.003680 0.006435 0.017013 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001417 0.001815 0.002434 0.003612 0.006416 0.017868 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001361 0.001745 0.002342 0.003482 0.006211 0.017541 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001330 0.001712 0.002310 0.003470 0.006326 0.019319 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001261 0.001617 0.002173 0.003235 0.005789 0.016528 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001241 0.001599 0.002162 0.003258 0.005979 0.018737 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001234 0.001600 0.002185 0.003349 0.006391 0.023535 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001214 0.001580 0.002168 0.003357 0.006560 0.026992 NaN